Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Peter's avatar

Only four unforced errors on the part of Xi?

I would say that the death estimates are low, tragically enough. I would also say that the 2 percent growth rate in China some mention is probably way too high. This may well have been the accurate pre-Covid growth rate.

And, as with COVID, as the demographic crisis continues to take hold, aging + non-replacement birth rate, things will continue to worsen.

Why the Biden administration is making overtures at this point I have a hard time understanding, other than running after mammon. The attached strings should be serious.

Expand full comment
Alan C's avatar

I think the 600,000 figure for deaths to date is easily believable, if not higher given the population and the fact that not enough people were vaxxed recently enough with good enough vaccines. I chatted with a 35-yo friend in Dongguan yesterday, and she said that she said that an aunt, an uncle (both in their 60s, no less), and a similarly-35-yo university classmate had all died of COVID in the last month.

Expand full comment
3 more comments...

No posts