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This claim in The Economist seems to support Bill’s view on how US intelligence might have gotten hold of information on potential arms sales:

‘China is angry with the Kremlin that discussions over arms sale have been picked up by America and publicised, according to a European official familiar with the matter. China wanted any support to remain secret.’ https://www.economist.com/china/2023/03/02/chinese-arms-could-revive-russias-failing-war

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